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Tuesday, February 22, 2011

Climate change no problem, says futurist Ray Kurzweil | Environment | guardian.co.uk

Climate change no problem, says futurist Ray Kurzweil | Environment | guardian.co.uk: "Author, inventor, and futurist Ray Kurzweil famously and accurately predicted that a computer would beat a man at chess by 1998, that technologies that help spread information would accelerate the collapse of the
Soviet Union, and that a worldwide communications network would emerge in the mid 1990s (i.e. the internet).

Most of Kurzweil's prognostications are derived from his law of accelerating returns -- the idea that information technologies progress exponentially, in part because each iteration is used to help build the next, better, faster, cheaper one. In the case of computers, this is not just a theory but an observable trend -- computer processing power has doubled every two years for nearly half a century."

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