But if you haven’t already, you should consider adding another prophetic voice to the list: the market. In the last decade, creators of “prediction markets” have applied market principles to answer very specific questions about the future."
Sunday, January 6, 2013
Forecasting the Future: Ray Kurzweil, Nate Silver, and—the Market?
Forecasting the Future: Ray Kurzweil, Nate Silver, and—the Market?: "If you’re a futurist, chances are you have a favorite oracle or uncanny prediction. Maybe it was John Paulson’s bet against the housing market in 2007-08, or Nate Silver’s spot on election call in 2012, or Ray Kurzweil—just in general.
But if you haven’t already, you should consider adding another prophetic voice to the list: the market. In the last decade, creators of “prediction markets” have applied market principles to answer very specific questions about the future."
But if you haven’t already, you should consider adding another prophetic voice to the list: the market. In the last decade, creators of “prediction markets” have applied market principles to answer very specific questions about the future."
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